miércoles, 29 de septiembre de 2010

Population growth and food shortages.

Thomas Malthus and Ester Boserup theories
Both theories relate food supply with population size, based on the agricultural methods used for food production.
Malthus Theory:
  • Published in “The Principle of Population” in 1798
  • It presents an approach focusing in the population size being determined by the availability of food
  • Population growth follows a geometric progression and food growth follows an arithmetic one.
  • When food supply is scarce, population size will adjust to it.
  • Food production incensement is a slow and difficult process.
  • It states that controlling population growth is easier than increasing the food supply.
Limitations:
  • The theory doesn’t present the possibility of controlling the human birth rate, but establishes a extremely pessimistic approach where organisms of the human population will just die until food supply is enough.
  • It doesn’t consider all of the changes that the industrial revolution brought.

Boserup Theory:
  • Presents a model of population in which the size determines the amount of food available.
  • When there’s stress in relation between food supply and population size, people will always find a way to increase production.
  • Workforce, machinery and fertilizers are the methods applied to increase food production.

Limitations:
  • At first, when population is low, lands are used intermittently, using fallowing (the burning of crops) to make lands more fertile. It is when population increases, that lands are used in a scheduled way. However, this requires more effort in maintaining the land.
  • The more maintenance, the more agricultural innovation, but labor increases towards farmers.
  • This tends to increase workforce but decrease crop efficiency, a process Ester calls ‘agricultural intensification’.

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